Is a Chaos Rising booster box worth it?
As of 2026-10-19, an average Chaos Rising booster box holds $94.38 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 52% of the box's $180.72 market price. Opening one loses $86.34 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.
Expected value from published pull rates and our nightly TCGplayer prices. Updated 2026-10-19.
The pulls that carry the box
The most valuable Chaos Rising cards at market price. Most of a box's value sits in a handful of them.
How the number is worked out
How we got 52%
Box price $180.72: TCGplayer market price of the sealed booster box on 2026-10-19.
- Bulk slots $28.19: 36 packs × 7 common/uncommon slots × $0.11 average market price of the set's commons and uncommons.
- Reverse holo slots $17.01: 36 packs × 2 reverse-holo slots × $0.24 average reverse-holo price.
- Rare slot $49.17: for each rarity tier, 36 packs × pulls per pack × the tier's average card price.
Tier Pulls / pack Avg card price Cards in tier EV / box Special Illustration Rare 1 in 82.6 $41.35 6 $18.01 Illustration Rare 1 in 9.4 $2.91 11 $11.16 Ultra Rare 1 in 12.1 $2.32 18 $6.93 Rare / Rare Holo 1 in 1.4 $0.18 12 $4.63 Mega Hyper Rare (gold Mega) 1 in 1000.0 $119.77 1 $4.31 Double Rare (ex) 1 in 4.9 $0.57 10 $4.13
EV $94.38 ÷ box price $180.72 = 52% ($2.62 per pack).
Pull rates: published community pull-rate data (config repo-2026-10-19).
Expected value is a long-run average. Most single boxes land below it, a few land far above, and selling fees come out of what you would actually net. Full methodology.
Questions people ask
- Is a Chaos Rising booster box worth it?
- As of 2026-10-19, an average Chaos Rising booster box holds $94.38 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 52% of the box's $180.72 market price. Opening one loses $86.34 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.
- What is the expected value of a Chaos Rising booster box?
- $94.38 per box as of 2026-10-19, or $2.62 per pack, from published pull rates and TCGplayer market prices for every card in the set. Recomputed nightly.
- What are the most valuable pulls in Chaos Rising?
- Mega Greninja ex - 116/086 ($121.21), Mega Greninja ex - 122/086 ($119.77), Cinccino ex - 119/086 ($41.87), Mega Dragalge ex - 118/086 ($25.07), Mega Floette ex - 117/086 ($23.31), at TCGplayer market prices on 2026-10-19.
- How does Chaos Rising compare with other booster boxes?
- It ranks 6 of 15 boxes we track by value inside against box price on 2026-10-19.
Know when a Chaos Rising box is worth opening
The Lab Letter, every Sunday, tracks the value inside every box we price. Free. See last Sunday's Letter.
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