Is a Chaos Rising booster box worth it?
As of 2026-11-09, an average Chaos Rising booster box holds $95.92 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 53% of the box's $181.29 market price. Opening one loses $85.37 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.
Expected value from published pull rates and our nightly TCGplayer prices. Updated 2026-11-09.
The pulls that carry the box
The most valuable Chaos Rising cards at market price. Most of a box's value sits in a handful of them.
Opening it? Protect the pulls
Code THELAB takes 10% off at BCW- Sleeve + toploader combo: For the hits, straight out of the pack.BCW −10%
- Magnetic card holder (35 pt): For the one chase card you keep.BCW −10%
- Card storage boxes: For the commons, uncommons and energy.BCW −10%
Disclosure: these are affiliate links. Using them (or code THELAB at BCW) supports The Lab at no cost to you. How the code works
How the number is worked out
How we got 53%
Box price $181.29: TCGplayer market price of the sealed booster box on 2026-11-09.
- Bulk slots $33.51: 36 packs × 7 common/uncommon slots × $0.13 average market price of the set's commons and uncommons.
- Reverse holo slots $18.29: 36 packs × 2 reverse-holo slots × $0.25 average reverse-holo price.
- Rare slot $44.12: for each rarity tier, 36 packs × pulls per pack × the tier's average card price.
Tier Pulls / pack Avg card price Cards in tier EV / box Special Illustration Rare 1 in 82.6 $36.63 6 $15.95 Illustration Rare 1 in 9.4 $2.34 11 $8.96 Ultra Rare 1 in 12.1 $2.27 18 $6.76 Rare / Rare Holo 1 in 1.4 $0.18 12 $4.52 Double Rare (ex) 1 in 4.9 $0.54 10 $3.98 Mega Hyper Rare (gold Mega) 1 in 1000.0 $109.55 1 $3.94
EV $95.92 ÷ box price $181.29 = 53% ($2.66 per pack).
Pull rates: published community pull-rate data (config repo-2026-10-19).
Expected value is a long-run average. Most single boxes land below it, a few land far above, and selling fees come out of what you would actually net. Full methodology.
Questions people ask
- Is a Chaos Rising booster box worth it?
- As of 2026-11-09, an average Chaos Rising booster box holds $95.92 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 53% of the box's $181.29 market price. Opening one loses $85.37 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.
- What is the expected value of a Chaos Rising booster box?
- $95.92 per box as of 2026-11-09, or $2.66 per pack, from published pull rates and TCGplayer market prices for every card in the set. Recomputed nightly.
- What are the most valuable pulls in Chaos Rising?
- Mega Greninja ex - 122/086 ($109.55), Mega Greninja ex - 116/086 ($106.47), Cinccino ex - 119/086 ($38.71), Mega Dragalge ex - 118/086 ($21.07), AZ's Tranquility - 120/086 ($19.48), at TCGplayer market prices on 2026-11-09.
- How does Chaos Rising compare with other booster boxes?
- It ranks 6 of 15 boxes we track by value inside against box price on 2026-11-09.
Chaos Rising sealed prices
TCGplayer market prices as of 2026-11-09.
- Chaos Rising Pokemon Center Elite Trainer BoxWorth it?$118.37
- Chaos Rising Elite Trainer BoxWorth it?$70.55
- Chaos Rising Build & Battle Box$38.05
- Chaos Rising Booster BundleWorth it?$37.22
- Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister [Charmeleon]$20.79
- Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Reshiram/Moltres]$17.79
- Chaos Rising Single Pack Blister [Zacian/Mimikyu]$16.08
- Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister [Flygon Line]$14.39
Elite Trainer Boxes and bundles
Same packs, fewer of them. Price per pack decides which is the better buy.
- Is the Chaos Rising Elite Trainer Box worth it?$7.84 per pack
- Is the Chaos Rising Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box worth it?$10.76 per pack
- Is the Chaos Rising Booster Bundle worth it?$6.20 per pack
Know when a Chaos Rising box is worth opening
The Lab Letter, every Sunday, tracks the value inside every box we price. Free. See last Sunday's Letter.
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