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Is a Obsidian Flames booster box worth it?

As of 2026-11-07, an average Obsidian Flames booster box holds $148.31 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 39% of the box's $381.20 market price. Opening one loses $232.89 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.

Expected value from published pull rates and our nightly TCGplayer prices. Updated 2026-11-07.

Box price
$381.20
Cards inside, on average
$148.31
Value vs price
39%
Per pack
$4.12
vs $10.59 of box price

The pulls that carry the box

The most valuable Obsidian Flames cards at market price. Most of a box's value sits in a handful of them.

  1. Charizard ex - 223/197
    Charizard ex - 223/197
    $86.78
  2. Charizard ex - 228/197
    Charizard ex - 228/197
    $32.88
  3. Ninetales - 199/197
    Ninetales - 199/197
    $30.51
  4. Cleffa - 202/197
    Cleffa - 202/197
    $29.91
  5. Charizard ex - 215/197
    Charizard ex - 215/197
    $20.53
  6. Gloom - 198/197
    Gloom - 198/197
    $17.40
  7. Pidgeot ex - 225/197
    Pidgeot ex - 225/197
    $15.03
  8. Scizor - 205/197
    Scizor - 205/197
    $11.50
  9. Lechonk - 209/197
    Lechonk - 209/197
    $10.83
  10. Pidgey - 207/197
    Pidgey - 207/197
    $10.49

Opening it? Protect the pulls

Code THELAB takes 10% off at BCW
  • Sleeve + toploader combo: For the hits, straight out of the pack.BCW −10%
  • Magnetic card holder (35 pt): For the one chase card you keep.BCW −10%
  • Card storage boxes: For the commons, uncommons and energy.BCW −10%

Disclosure: these are affiliate links. Using them (or code THELAB at BCW) supports The Lab at no cost to you. How the code works

How the number is worked out

How we got 39%

Box price $381.20: TCGplayer market price of the sealed booster box on 2026-11-07.

  1. Bulk slots $40.88: 36 packs × 7 common/uncommon slots × $0.16 average market price of the set's commons and uncommons.
  2. Reverse holo slots $19.93: 36 packs × 2 reverse-holo slots × $0.28 average reverse-holo price.
  3. Rare slot $87.50: for each rarity tier, 36 packs × pulls per pack × the tier's average card price.
    TierPulls / packAvg card priceCards in tierEV / box
    Illustration Rare1 in 11.9$12.0712$36.50
    Special Illustration Rare1 in 27.8$19.626$25.43
    Hyper Rare (gold)1 in 50.0$12.753$9.18
    Ultra Rare1 in 16.7$3.1012$6.70
    Double Rare (ex)1 in 7.0$1.2321$6.30
    Rare / Rare Holo1 in 1.9$0.1710$3.38

EV $148.31 ÷ box price $381.20 = 39% ($4.12 per pack).

Pull rates: published community pull-rate data (config v1).

Expected value is a long-run average. Most single boxes land below it, a few land far above, and selling fees come out of what you would actually net. Full methodology.

Questions people ask

Is a Obsidian Flames booster box worth it?
As of 2026-11-07, an average Obsidian Flames booster box holds $148.31 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 39% of the box's $381.20 market price. Opening one loses $232.89 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.
What is the expected value of a Obsidian Flames booster box?
$148.31 per box as of 2026-11-07, or $4.12 per pack, from published pull rates and TCGplayer market prices for every card in the set. Recomputed nightly.
What are the most valuable pulls in Obsidian Flames?
Charizard ex - 223/197 ($86.78), Charizard ex - 228/197 ($32.88), Ninetales - 199/197 ($30.51), Cleffa - 202/197 ($29.91), Charizard ex - 215/197 ($20.53), at TCGplayer market prices on 2026-11-07.
How does Obsidian Flames compare with other booster boxes?
It ranks 12 of 15 boxes we track by value inside against box price on 2026-11-07.

Obsidian Flames sealed prices

TCGplayer market prices as of 2026-11-07.

Elite Trainer Boxes and bundles

Same packs, fewer of them. Price per pack decides which is the better buy.

Box value

Know when a Obsidian Flames box is worth opening

The Lab Letter, every Sunday, tracks the value inside every box we price. Free. See last Sunday's Letter.

Other booster boxes

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