Analysis
What the market did, and why
One event per piece. A tournament result, a reprint, a rotation: we pull the affected cards from our nightly price snapshots and TCGplayer sales history, show what moved and what did not, and say what the data supports. Guides are evergreen how-tos; these are dated and specific on purpose.
- Baltimore Regionals · September 26, 2026 · 11 min readBaltimore Regionals 2026: every top 8 Pokémon decklist priced, and what the weekend did to prices and sales
All eight top 8 lists from the first Regional of the season, priced card by card with copy and buy buttons, plus TCGplayer sales before and after the final. Dylan Kasturi's winning Basic Box deck is about $75 in singles, 36% of it one ACE SPEC, and six days later not one list costs more than it did before the event. Buyers moved copies, not prices: the Basic Box attackers sold about 60% more, the cards only Dragapult plays about 20% fewer.
- 30th Celebration · September 10, 2026 · 7 min read30th Celebration Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box: What the Sold-Out Preorder Actually Costs Now
The Pokémon Center ETB preorder crashed the site in July, queues past 7 hours, sold out by afternoon. On TCGplayer it peaked at 12.2x its $59.99 MSRP that week, more than the 2021 Pokémon Center ETB commands after five years of real demand. Launch day took a quarter off that price in eight days: 6.3x on September 16, and still the widest premium in the set.
- 30th Celebration · September 8, 2026 · 12 min readPokémon 30th Celebration presale prices: every product against MSRP, and what the last three launches did to prices
Launch day, September 16: the Elite Trainer Box settled at 3.2x its $49.99 list after nine weeks of presale prices falling 58%. The Pokémon Center box gave back a quarter of its price in eight days, the chase Mew ex lost 60% once real sales arrived, and the loose pack and Booster Bundle were the only lines that rose. The 25th anniversary set says the opposite about sealed held from MSRP for five years.
- Sealed market · September 7, 2026 · 14 min readIs the sealed Pokémon market correcting? Two years of booster box prices and a year of sales say: depends what you bought
We built the Lab Booster Box Index from every English 36-pack booster box on TCGplayer, 26 months of nightly prices, and a year of sales volume. Seasoned boxes are up 20% year over year and 7% off a July peak. New product is where the correction lives.
- Worlds 2026 · September 5, 2026 · 8 min readAndrew Hedrick's Worlds-winning Dragapult list: every card priced, and what happened after
The full 60-card list that won Worlds 2026, priced card by card with buy links, plus the TCGplayer sales data on what people bought after the final. Spoiler: the deck is $40 and the win did not change that.
Looking for the how-tos instead? See the guides, or the weekly report for this week's movers.
