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Is a Phantasmal Flames booster box worth it?

As of 2026-10-19, an average Phantasmal Flames booster box holds $152.08 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 39% of the box's $393.36 market price. Opening one loses $241.28 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.

Expected value from published pull rates and our nightly TCGplayer prices. Updated 2026-10-19.

Box price
$393.36
Cards inside, on average
$152.08
Value vs price
39%
Per pack
$4.22
vs $10.93 of box price

The pulls that carry the box

The most valuable Phantasmal Flames cards at market price. Most of a box's value sits in a handful of them.

  1. Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094
    Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094
    $617.99
  2. Mega Charizard X ex - 130/094
    Mega Charizard X ex - 130/094
    $201.83
  3. Mega Charizard X ex - 109/094
    Mega Charizard X ex - 109/094
    $22.01
  4. Dawn - 129/094
    Dawn - 129/094
    $17.24
  5. Mega Sharpedo ex - 127/094
    Mega Sharpedo ex - 127/094
    $16.94
  6. Meowth
    Meowth
    $13.64
  7. Mega Lopunny ex - 128/094
    Mega Lopunny ex - 128/094
    $13.22
  8. Piplup - 098/094
    Piplup - 098/094
    $11.52
  9. Rotom ex - 126/094
    Rotom ex - 126/094
    $11.34
  10. Wigglytuff - 105/094
    Wigglytuff - 105/094
    $5.20

How the number is worked out

How we got 39%

Box price $393.36: TCGplayer market price of the sealed booster box on 2026-10-19.

  1. Bulk slots $31.16: 36 packs × 7 common/uncommon slots × $0.12 average market price of the set's commons and uncommons.
  2. Reverse holo slots $16.12: 36 packs × 2 reverse-holo slots × $0.22 average reverse-holo price.
  3. Rare slot $104.80: for each rarity tier, 36 packs × pulls per pack × the tier's average card price.
    TierPulls / packAvg card priceCards in tierEV / box
    Special Illustration Rare1 in 80.0$135.355$60.91
    Illustration Rare1 in 9.1$4.4713$17.65
    Double Rare (ex)1 in 4.8$1.1110$8.28
    Ultra Rare1 in 12.4$2.6617$7.72
    Mega Hyper Rare (gold Mega)1 in 1250.0$201.831$5.81
    Rare / Rare Holo1 in 1.4$0.1710$4.43

EV $152.08 ÷ box price $393.36 = 39% ($4.22 per pack).

Pull rates: published community pull-rate data (config repo-2026-10-19).

Expected value is a long-run average. Most single boxes land below it, a few land far above, and selling fees come out of what you would actually net. Full methodology.

Questions people ask

Is a Phantasmal Flames booster box worth it?
As of 2026-10-19, an average Phantasmal Flames booster box holds $152.08 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 39% of the box's $393.36 market price. Opening one loses $241.28 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.
What is the expected value of a Phantasmal Flames booster box?
$152.08 per box as of 2026-10-19, or $4.22 per pack, from published pull rates and TCGplayer market prices for every card in the set. Recomputed nightly.
What are the most valuable pulls in Phantasmal Flames?
Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094 ($617.99), Mega Charizard X ex - 130/094 ($201.83), Mega Charizard X ex - 109/094 ($22.01), Dawn - 129/094 ($17.24), Mega Sharpedo ex - 127/094 ($16.94), at TCGplayer market prices on 2026-10-19.
How does Phantasmal Flames compare with other booster boxes?
It ranks 14 of 15 boxes we track by value inside against box price on 2026-10-19.
Box value

Know when a Phantasmal Flames box is worth opening

The Lab Letter, every Sunday, tracks the value inside every box we price. Free. See last Sunday's Letter.

Other booster boxes

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