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Is a Paradox Rift booster box worth it?

As of 2026-10-18, an average Paradox Rift booster box holds $144.34 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 51% of the box's $283.89 market price. Opening one loses $139.55 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.

Expected value from published pull rates and our nightly TCGplayer prices. Updated 2026-10-18.

Box price
$283.89
Cards inside, on average
$144.34
Value vs price
51%
Per pack
$4.01
vs $7.89 of box price

The pulls that carry the box

The most valuable Paradox Rift cards at market price. Most of a box's value sits in a handful of them.

  1. Groudon - 199/182
    Groudon - 199/182
    $96.70
  2. Morpeko - 206/182
    Morpeko - 206/182
    $61.69
  3. Plusle - 193/182
    Plusle - 193/182
    $45.58
  4. Minun - 194/182
    Minun - 194/182
    $44.57
  5. Altaria ex - 253/182
    Altaria ex - 253/182
    $44.04
  6. Steelix - 208/182
    Steelix - 208/182
    $36.66
  7. Garchomp ex - 245/182
    Garchomp ex - 245/182
    $32.20
  8. Mantyke - 189/182
    Mantyke - 189/182
    $30.24
  9. Gholdengo ex - 252/182
    Gholdengo ex - 252/182
    $30.02
  10. Roaring Moon ex - 251/182
    Roaring Moon ex - 251/182
    $29.60

How the number is worked out

How we got 51%

Box price $283.89: TCGplayer market price of the sealed booster box on 2026-10-18.

  1. Bulk slots $35.67: 36 packs × 7 common/uncommon slots × $0.14 average market price of the set's commons and uncommons.
  2. Reverse holo slots $16.20: 36 packs × 2 reverse-holo slots × $0.23 average reverse-holo price.
  3. Rare slot $92.47: for each rarity tier, 36 packs × pulls per pack × the tier's average card price.
    TierPulls / packAvg card priceCards in tierEV / box
    Illustration Rare1 in 11.9$20.0534$60.77
    Special Illustration Rare1 in 51.8$18.3615$12.75
    Ultra Rare1 in 13.3$3.0828$8.37
    Double Rare (ex)1 in 6.6$0.9120$5.02
    Rare / Rare Holo1 in 1.9$0.1827$3.39
    Hyper Rare (gold)1 in 81.3$4.897$2.16

EV $144.34 ÷ box price $283.89 = 51% ($4.01 per pack).

Pull rates: published community pull-rate data (config v1).

Expected value is a long-run average. Most single boxes land below it, a few land far above, and selling fees come out of what you would actually net. Full methodology.

Questions people ask

Is a Paradox Rift booster box worth it?
As of 2026-10-18, an average Paradox Rift booster box holds $144.34 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 51% of the box's $283.89 market price. Opening one loses $139.55 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.
What is the expected value of a Paradox Rift booster box?
$144.34 per box as of 2026-10-18, or $4.01 per pack, from published pull rates and TCGplayer market prices for every card in the set. Recomputed nightly.
What are the most valuable pulls in Paradox Rift?
Groudon - 199/182 ($96.70), Morpeko - 206/182 ($61.69), Plusle - 193/182 ($45.58), Minun - 194/182 ($44.57), Altaria ex - 253/182 ($44.04), at TCGplayer market prices on 2026-10-18.
How does Paradox Rift compare with other booster boxes?
It ranks 4 of 8 boxes we track by value inside against box price on 2026-10-18.
Box value

Know when a Paradox Rift box is worth opening

The Lab Letter, every Sunday, tracks the value inside every box we price. Free. See last Sunday's Letter.

Other booster boxes

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