Is a Paldea Evolved booster box worth it?
As of 2026-10-18, an average Paldea Evolved booster box holds $196.04 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 44% of the box's $450.03 market price. Opening one loses $253.99 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.
Expected value from published pull rates and our nightly TCGplayer prices. Updated 2026-10-18.
The pulls that carry the box
The most valuable Paldea Evolved cards at market price. Most of a box's value sits in a handful of them.
How the number is worked out
How we got 44%
Box price $450.03: TCGplayer market price of the sealed booster box on 2026-10-18.
- Bulk slots $35.03: 36 packs × 7 common/uncommon slots × $0.14 average market price of the set's commons and uncommons.
- Reverse holo slots $16.79: 36 packs × 2 reverse-holo slots × $0.23 average reverse-holo price.
- Rare slot $144.22: for each rarity tier, 36 packs × pulls per pack × the tier's average card price.
Tier Pulls / pack Avg card price Cards in tier EV / box Illustration Rare 1 in 13.1 $34.53 36 $95.22 Special Illustration Rare 1 in 34.8 $22.80 15 $23.55 Ultra Rare 1 in 13.3 $4.10 26 $11.06 Double Rare (ex) 1 in 7.0 $1.06 17 $5.49 Hyper Rare (gold) 1 in 41.8 $5.96 9 $5.13 Rare / Rare Holo 1 in 1.9 $0.20 25 $3.77
EV $196.04 ÷ box price $450.03 = 44% ($5.45 per pack).
Pull rates: published community pull-rate data (config v1).
Expected value is a long-run average. Most single boxes land below it, a few land far above, and selling fees come out of what you would actually net. Full methodology.
Questions people ask
- Is a Paldea Evolved booster box worth it?
- As of 2026-10-18, an average Paldea Evolved booster box holds $196.04 of cards at TCGplayer market prices, 44% of the box's $450.03 market price. Opening one loses $253.99 on average, so buying the singles you want costs less than chasing them.
- What is the expected value of a Paldea Evolved booster box?
- $196.04 per box as of 2026-10-18, or $5.45 per pack, from published pull rates and TCGplayer market prices for every card in the set. Recomputed nightly.
- What are the most valuable pulls in Paldea Evolved?
- Magikarp - 203/193 ($346.95), Raichu - 211/193 ($93.89), Maushold - 226/193 ($85.85), Tyranitar - 222/193 ($68.33), Sprigatito - 196/193 ($55.02), at TCGplayer market prices on 2026-10-18.
- How does Paldea Evolved compare with other booster boxes?
- It ranks 6 of 8 boxes we track by value inside against box price on 2026-10-18.
Know when a Paldea Evolved box is worth opening
The Lab Letter, every Sunday, tracks the value inside every box we price. Free. See last Sunday's Letter.
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