Lab TCG

Pokémon Booster Box EV Tracker

Expected value is what the cards inside a box are worth at today's singles prices, computed nightly from published pull rates and our live price data. A ratio near or above 100% means the box is priced below its contents — rare, and usually short-lived. Most boxes sit well under 100%: that gap is the price of the gamble. Rip or hold, this is the number to know first.

  1. 1
    SV02: Paldea Evolved

    36 packs · EV $209 vs box $145 · $5.81/pack

    Paldea Evolved Sleeved Booster CaseMagikarp - 203/193Paldea Evolved Booster BundleRaichu - 211/193top pulls
    144%
    EV / price
    Buy box
  2. 2
    SV07: Stellar Crown

    36 packs · EV $175 vs box $228 · $4.87/pack

    Stellar Crown Sleeved Booster Master CartonSquirtleBulbasaurStellar Crown Booster Bundletop pulls
    77%
    EV / price
    Buy box
  3. 3
    SV08: Surging Sparks

    36 packs · EV $124 vs box $190 · $3.45/pack

    Surging Sparks Sleeved Booster Pack CaseSurging Sparks Booster Bundle Case (LGS)Pikachu ex - 238/191Latias ex - 239/191top pulls
    65%
    EV / price
    Buy box
  4. 4
    SV05: Temporal Forces

    36 packs · EV $200 vs box $306 · $5.56/pack

    Temporal Forces Sleeved Booster CaseGastly - 177/162Temporal Forces Booster BundleMorty's Conviction - 211/162top pulls
    65%
    EV / price
    Buy box
  5. 5
    SV04: Paradox Rift

    36 packs · EV $148 vs box $275 · $4.10/pack

    Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster CaseGroudon - 199/182Paradox Rift Booster BundleAltaria ex - 253/182top pulls
    54%
    EV / price
    Buy box
  6. 6
    SV09: Journey Together

    36 packs · EV $161 vs box $299 · $4.46/pack

    Journey Together Sleeved Booster CaseJourney Together Booster Bundle CaseLillie's Clefairy ex - 184/159Salamence ex - 187/159top pulls
    54%
    EV / price
    Buy box
  7. 7
    SV01: Scarlet & Violet Base Set

    36 packs · EV $146 vs box $303 · $4.04/pack

    Scarlet & Violet Sleeved Booster CaseScarlet & Violet Booster BundleGardevoir ex - 245/198Drowzee - 210/198top pulls
    48%
    EV / price
    Buy box
  8. 8
    SV03: Obsidian Flames

    36 packs · EV $165 vs box $365 · $4.57/pack

    Obsidian Flames Sleeved Booster Pack CaseObsidian Flames Booster BundleCharizard ex - 223/197Obsidian Flames Single Blister Pack [Annihilape]top pulls
    45%
    EV / price
    Buy box

How EV is calculated

For each set we combine published pull rates with the current market price of every card in the set, weighted by the odds of pulling it, then add bulk and reverse-holo value. EV is a long-run average: any single box can beat it or (more often) fall short. Prices refresh nightly. Buy links go to TCGplayer and may earn us a commission at no cost to you.